Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.168658 0.190069 0.212575 0.237941 0.265678 0.295031 0.328387
2025-03-30 0.139675 0.168529 0.200476 0.238282 0.281602 0.329491 0.386227
2025-04-06 0.118515 0.151860 0.190484 0.238126 0.294881 0.359891 0.439522
2025-04-13 0.102153 0.138303 0.181923 0.237742 0.306528 0.387750 0.490074
2025-04-20 0.090416 0.128731 0.176705 0.240134 0.320643 0.418230 0.544141
2025-04-27 0.082585 0.123059 0.175440 0.246717 0.339543 0.454614 0.606119
2025-05-04 0.074190 0.115605 0.170958 0.248385 0.351702 0.482496 0.657958
2025-05-11 0.067924 0.110334 0.168722 0.252470 0.366687 0.514001 0.714913
2025-05-18 0.063670 0.107428 0.169311 0.260084 0.386295 0.551760 0.780689
2025-05-25 0.057166 0.100513 0.163614 0.258409 0.392915 0.572288 0.824171
2025-06-01 0.051738 0.094672 0.158927 0.257661 0.400451 0.593908 0.869313
2025-06-08 0.046935 0.089319 0.154491 0.256837 0.407562 0.614853 0.913772
2025-06-15 0.043915 0.086734 0.154268 0.262487 0.424549 0.650498 0.980147
2025-06-22 0.039910 0.082095 0.150485 0.262480 0.433198 0.674674 1.031309
2025-06-29 0.036253 0.077670 0.146676 0.262107 0.441126 0.697887 1.081563
2025-07-06 0.032952 0.073522 0.142970 0.261582 0.448634 0.720524 1.131383
2025-07-13 0.030529 0.070736 0.141293 0.264104 0.460721 0.749958 1.191414
2025-07-20 0.029090 0.069667 0.142434 0.271174 0.479961 0.790245 1.267838
2025-07-27 0.026928 0.066949 0.140480 0.272956 0.490879 0.818378 1.327135
2025-08-03 0.025344 0.065222 0.140140 0.277352 0.505975 0.853007 1.396549
2025-08-10 0.024412 0.064753 0.142019 0.285554 0.527351 0.897516 1.481344
2025-08-17 0.022224 0.061360 0.138248 0.283745 0.532352 0.917135 1.529462
2025-08-24 0.020360 0.058458 0.135173 0.282938 0.538854 0.939078 1.581352